Forrester Research: - Consumer Packaged Goods Summit

Winning In A Wal-Mart World

October 20-21, 2002

Chicago, Ill.

Speech Summaries

Christine Spivey Overby

Christine Spivey Overby
Principal Analyst
Forrester Research, Inc.

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Winning In A Wal-Mart World

Christine Spivey Overby, Analyst, Forrester Research, emphasized that Wal-Mart has mastered the supply chain but has left the consumer experience up for grabs. To succeed, manufacturers must duplicate Wal-Mart's supply chain mastery and differentiate with shopping experiences.

How does Wal-Mart use technology to expand supply chain mastery? It focuses on three strategies: store-specific data, centralized distribution, and global sourcing -- all of which lead to significant savings for the consumer.

What are shoppers' attitudes toward Wal-Mart? Grocery shoppers like Wal-Mart for its prices, large array of products in store, and having products in stock; but they think that cleanliness, customer service, and the checkout experience need improvement. There is opportunity for both manufacturers and retailers -- both need to strategically go after the opportunity.

What can CPG players do to win in a Wal-Mart world? Think about technology investment along two dimensions: supply chain efficiencies and enhancing the shopping experience. Retailers need to duplicate Wal-Mart's supply chain and differentiate on the shopping experience. Manufacturers need to collaborate with Wal-Mart on supply chain and extend the shopping experience.

Questions And Answers

Q: How does Wal-Mart's distribution network accommodate Sam’s Club? What does Costco do to threaten Wal-Mart's warehouse stores?
A: Wal-Mart has had to tweak some of its distribution networks by making them more decentralized. In addition, Wal-Mart recently put Kevin Turner, former CTO of Wal-Mart, in charge of Sam's Club, which Forrester believes is a direct reaction to the Costco threat.

Q: By duplicating Wal-Mart's efficiencies, do we strengthen Wal-Mart's advantage?
A: It is not about becoming the 1,000-pound gorilla, it's about maximizing cost efficiencies. Wal-Mart is a metaphor for keeping costs down. Retailers do not need to do this by squeezing manufacturers -- they can achieve this by sharing data with suppliers and duplicating Wal-Mart's operating efficiencies.

Q: Will Wal-Mart expand its capabilities online to compete with Peapod?
A: Wal-Mart has had some problems with online organization and we are in a moment where Walmart.com is trying to stabilize and attract consumers by offering general merchandise. This window of opportunity will not last long -- I expect that Wal-Mart will begin to sell groceries online within the next three years.

Event Information

Summaries

Speakers

Keynote Speakers

Kevin Ashton
Vivienne Lee Bechtold
Colin Dyer
Michael D. Moore
Kevin Smith
Marc C. van Gelder

Forrester Analysts

Christine Overby
Bruce Temkin


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