(Length: 16 pages)

February 23, 2004

Exposing The Myth Of The 5-Cent RFID Tag

Why RFID Tags Will Remain Costly This Decade

by Charles Homs

with David Metcalfe, Sonoko Takahashi

Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

The initial hype around the potential for adding an RFID tag to every item in a supermarket persuaded RFID manufacturers to target the retail supply chain. Retailers and CPG manufacturers bought into the idea that they could use RFID tags economically if they cost €0.05. But complex manufacturing techniques, a costly assembly process, and a lack of demand means the price of RFID tags won't drop to €0.05 in the next eight years. The Forrester model forecasts that RFID tag prices will decline, on average, only 9% year on year. To find a cheaper alternative, CPG manufacturers and retailers need to minimize tag functionality, target simple usage scenarios, or wait for a manufacturing breakthrough.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemRFID Tag Manufacturers And Users Have Contrasting Views

itemUsers Face Immature Technology, Unknown Costs, And Unclear Benefits

itemMultiple Types Of RFID Tags Confuse Customers

itemReset Expectations: RFID Tag Prices Won't Tumble

itemThe Price Of RFID Tags Won't Fall To 5 Cents

itemHow To Reduce The Bill For RFID Tags

WHAT IT MEANS

itemHigh RFID Tag Prices Will Hit Demand And Supply

ALTERNATIVE VIEW

itemRevolutionary Ways To Cut RFID Tag Manufacturing Costs

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester interviewed 10 user and 31 vendor companies, including: Cross Point, EM Microelectronic-Marin, FlexChip, IBM, Infineon Technologies, Microchip Technology, Philips, PolyIC, Sovereign Tracking Systems, STELLA Electronics, STMicroelectronics, TAGSYS, Texas Instruments, TrenStar, Trolley Scan.

Related Research Documents

itemWhat You Need To Know About RFID In 2004

December 9, 2003 Forrester Brief

itemThe X Internet And Business Profitability

December 2003 Forrester Report

itemWal-Mart Drops Item-Level RFID Pilot: Big Whoop

July 11, 2003 Forrester Brief

Find Documents In Related Categories

This document falls under the following categories. Click on a link below to find similar documents.
Industry: Consumer Packaged Goods, Retail, RFID
Special Feature: Forecasts
Geography: Europe

Special Features

2 Forecasts

Research on future technology trends or innovation

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