(Length: 23 pages)
This document includes Business Data

August 24, 2004

IT Spending Outlook: 2004 To 2008 And Beyond

Waiting For The Next Big Thing

by Andrew Bartels

with Tom Pohlmann, Natalie Lambert


Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

During the next five years, spending on IT goods, services, and staff by US companies and governments will grow, on average, at 6% annually from 2003 to 2008. We are in the second half of an eight-year period of technology digestion and refinement, in which technology buyers focus on ROI and process changes to get value from the technology they have bought and during which tech vendors focus on making technology cheaper and easier to use. As a result, investment in technology will grow only slightly faster than economic growth. But the seeds of the "next big thing" in technology will be sown during this period, leading to a boom in tech spending starting in 2008 and continuing through 2016.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemStill In A State Of Tech Digestion

itemIT Spending Growth Tracks To GDP Growth Through 2008

itemIT Prices Stay Soft Through 2008

itemThe Long Run: The Next Big Thing In Tech Will Hit In 2008 Through 2016

RECOMMENDATIONS

itemInvest Conservatively In IT Until 2007, Then Let It Rip

ALTERNATIVE VIEW

itemThe Next Big Thing In Tech Happens In 2006 To 2007

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester analyzed data from the US Department of Commerce on business and government investment in technology during the past 60 years. We used Forrester's forecasting model to project IT spending and IT prices through 2008.

Related Research Documents

itemProjected 2004 US IT Growth Edges Up To 6%

June 4, 2004, Trends

itemProspects For Tech Investment In 2004 To 2008: Moderate Growth At Best, Not Much Growth At Worst

June 5, 2003, Planning Assumption

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Analyst: Andrew Bartels
Technology: IT Spending & Budgeting
Special Feature: Forecasts
Geography: North America

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