(Length: 14 pages)

March 25, 2005

US IT Spending In 2004: How The Year Ended

Out Like A Lamb In 2004 Means In Like A Lamb In 2005

by Andrew Bartels

with Tom Pohlmann, G. Oliver Young


Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

Final data on 2004 spending on information technology goods, services, and staff by US companies and governments confirmed our forecasts of 5% growth for the year. The slowing of growth rates in new investments and vendor revenues in Q4 to high single-digit growth from the double-digit growth rates of the first half of 2004 sets the stage for 7% growth in 2005. Forrester has made some minor changes to the 2005 forecast, such as increasing the growth in spending and investment on computers and peripherals and lowering the projected growth in spending on communications equipment. Still, with actual 2004 IT spending coming in very close to our forecasts from late 2003 and early 2004, we feel confident that our 2005 forecast will hit the target as well.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemFourth Quarter Data Shows Softening Growth In IT Spending

itemIT Vendor Revenue Growth Slowed To 5% In Q4 2004

itemUS Department Of Commerce Data Also Showed Slowing Growth

itemNo Major Changes To Forrester's 2005 US IT Spending Forecast

itemAssessing The Accuracy Of Our Forecasts

itemUpdates To IT Spending By Industry In 2004 And 2005

recommendations

itemBuyers Should Prepare For More Vendor Consolidation

alternative view

itemStill More Downside Risks Than Upside Opportunities

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester analyzed data on IT investment and economic growth reported by the US Department of Commerce and incorporated these data in our proprietary forecasting model for US IT spending. Forrester also analyzed the financial reports of 35 IT vendors to identify results for North America and for different technologies they sell.

Related Research Documents

itemNorth American IT Spending In 2005

November 19, 2004, Trends

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Analyst: Andrew Bartels
Technology: IT Spending & Budgeting
Special Feature: Forecasts
Geography: North America

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