(Length: 13 pages)

This is a Consumer Technographics document

December 23, 2005

European Mobile Forecast: 2005 To 2010

by Niek van Veen

with Michelle de Lussanet, Lizet Menke

Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

2004 saw the widespread emergence of commercial 3G services in Europe. To see if consumers will sign up for these services, we updated our Western European mobile user forecast. To do this, we interviewed mobile operators and vendors about the state of the market and analyzed consumer data. 3G will only eventually take the lead over GSM-only and GPRS phones in 2010. 3G uptake will grow fastest in Italy and the UK because of the aggressive marketing approach that operators in these countries are taking; Finland and Belgium will lag. But despite 3G phone use becoming mainstream, mobile Internet services adoption will remain sluggish.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemOperator Ambitions And Market Realities Determine Mobile Adoption

itemOperators Still Face Network Build-Out Problems

itemOperators' 3G Activities Differ Like Night And Day

itemMarket Conditions Vary By Country

itemSixty Percent Of Europeans Will Have 3G By The End Of 2010

itemItaly And The UK Will Take The 3G Lead; Belgium And Finland Will Fall Behind

item3G's Growth Won't Spur Mobile Internet Adoption Much

WHAT IT MEANS

itemMobile Broadband Turbulence In 2006

itemSupplemental Material

We built five-year forecasts for Western European mobile subscriber penetration, the split by technology (GSM, GPRS, and UMTS), and mobile Internet adoption and usage. Inputs to the model include interviews with executives at 25 European mobile operators, Forrester's Consumer Technographics® data, and industry sources.

Related Research Documents

itemCentral And Eastern European Mobile Forecast: 2005 To 2010

January 13, 2005, Trends

itemEuropean Mobile Forecast: 2004 To 2009

August 9, 2004, Trends

itemEurope's UMTS Birthing Pains

July 23, 2004, Market Overview

Find Documents In Related Categories

This document falls under the following categories. Click on a link below to find similar documents.
Technology: IT Adoption, IT Spending & Budgeting, Mobile Services, Telecommunications Services, Telecommunications Services By Region
Industry: eBusiness/eCommerce, The Mobile Channel
Special Feature: Forecasts
Geography: Europe

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