For Sourcing & Vendor Management Professionals (Length: 14 pages)

September 23, 2005

US IT Spending In Q2 2005: Still Tracking Forecast

Government Data Revisions Lower Growth And Levels Of 2002-2004 IT Spending

by Andrew Bartels

with Tom Pohlmann, Olivia Ester


Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

Second-quarter 2005 data from both US government and vendor sources on business investment in information technology goods showed slightly stronger growth of 7% to 9%, depending on the measure. However, the big news was the US Commerce Department's downward revisions of data on business investment in computer and communications equipment from 2002 to 2004 and Q1 2005. These changes, along with updated data on IT staff costs and IT services and outsourcing, reduced our historic estimates of IT spending and new investment from 2002 to 2004 — and thus the levels of IT spending in 2005 and 2006. However, they don't change our forecast that US IT spending in 2005 and 2006 will grow by 7% in each year. Investment continues to be strongest in computer equipment, fairly solid for software, and soft in communications equipment. Purchases of IT services are showing the first signs of growth in a while.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemSecond-Quarter 2005 Data Shows Slight Uptick In IT Spending Growth

itemWhat Was Weak And What Was Strong In Q2 2005 IT Investment

itemNew Government Data Lowers Levels Of Investment For 2002 To 2004

itemNo Changes To Forrester's Forecast Of 7% Growth In US IT Spending

itemGovernment Data Revisions Improve Predictive Power Of Vendor Data

What It Means

itemLonger Tech Recession Means 2004-2005 Investment Is Just A Rebound

alternative view

item2005 IT Spending Could Be Better, But 2006 IT Spending Would Be Worse

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester analyzed data on IT investment and economic growth reported by the US Department of Commerce and incorporated its data in our proprietary forecasting model for US IT spending. We also analyzed the financial reports of 35 IT vendors to identify results for North America and for different technologies.

Related Research Documents

itemIT Spending For Q1 2005: US Tracking 7% Forecast

July 19, 2005, Trends

itemExchange Rates Mask Slowing Global Tech Growth

May 4, 2005, Market Overview

itemUS IT Spending In 2004: How The Year Ended

March 25, 2005, Trends

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Analyst: Andrew Bartels
Technology: IT Adoption, IT Spending & Budgeting
Industry: Government
Special Feature: Forecasts
Geography: North America

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