For Vendor Strategy Professionals (Length: 29 pages)

November 1, 2005

How India, China Redefine The Tech World Order

Indo-Chinese Influence In Global Tech Innovation Networks Is Not Preordained

by Navi Radjou

with Bobby Cameron, John C. McCarthy, Simon Yates, Ian Schuler

Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

India and China — with their fast-growing markets and rapidly-expanding innovation capabilities — are threatening to redefine the historical US-centric — and unipolar — world order for the tech industry. But instead of throwing up barriers and viewing India and China as competitive threats, US tech vendors are building global high-tech Innovation Networks: multipolar ecosystems that exploit the huge markets and the growing talent pools in India and China. This document examines how the epoch-defining interplay of accelerators and decelerators impacts the performance of both Asian giants and will shape high-tech industry relationships between the East and the West over the next two decades (2005-2025). Through three scenarios, India remains a strong US ally, leaving China to be the wildcard in defining a new tech world order.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemIndia And China Growth Herald A Shift In Locus For The Tech World Order

itemEmerging US-Led Innovation Networks Anchor Multipolar Tech World Order

itemCase In Point: AMD-Led Innovation Network Drives Internet Access Into The Indian Market

itemThree Scenarios For The Global Tech Sector's New World Order (2005-2025)

itemScenario 1: Chinese Mirage

itemScenario 2: Cold War II

itemScenario 3: Pax Indo-China

itemPlacing Safe Bets On The New Tech World Order: A Risk-Adjusted Projection

recommendations

itemUS, India, China: Upgrade Local Biz Environment To Foster Cross-Border Links

WHAT it MEANS

itemUS Tech Vendors Will Engage Indo-Chinese Peers In Coopetition

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester spoke with technology vendors and user companies that conduct business in India and China as well as with Indian and Chinese tech firms that operate worldwide, including: Riz Rizavi, VP, Emerging Markets, IBM; Derek Williams, president, Asia-Pacific, Oracle; Sanjay Purohit, head of corporate planning, Infosys. We also spoke with academic experts and think tanks well-versed in Indian and Chinese technology policies, including Adam Segal, Senior Fellow in China Studies, Council on Foreign Relations, and Professor Soumitra Dutta, INSEAD. We also used insights gleaned from the TiEcon 2005 conference, The World Economic Forum's "India and the World 2025."

Related Research Documents

itemBush-Singh Can't Grow US-India Tech Cooperation

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itemSizing The Emerging-Nation PC Market

December 10, 2004, Market Overview

itemInnovation Networks

June 17, 2004, Forrester Big Idea

Find Documents In Related Categories

This document falls under the following categories. Click on a link below to find similar documents.
Analyst: Navi Radjou
Technology: IT Management
Industry: High-Tech, Innovation Networks
Geography: Asia Pacific, Global

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