March 14, 2008
European Mobile Forecast: 2008 To 2013
by Pete Nuthall
with Michelle de Lussanet, Lauriane Camus
Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)
2007 saw mobile operators upgrading their 3G networks to 3.5G. At the same time, mobile operators started to introduce flat-rate mobile Internet access on a wider scale. To see if consumers will sign up for these services, we updated our Western European mobile user forecast. To do this, we interviewed mobile operators and vendors about the state of the market and analyzed consumer data. 3G will take the lead over GSM-only and GPRS phones in 2010. By the end of 2013, one-quarter of mobile phone users will have 3.5G-capable device. By that time, we expect 38% of mobile subscribers to use mobile Internet services at least once per month.
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We built five-year forecasts for Western European mobile subscriber penetration, the split by technology (GSM, GPRS, and UMTS), and mobile Internet adoption and usage. Inputs to the model included interviews with executives at 16 European mobile operators, Forrester's European Technographics® data, and industry sources. Related Research Documents
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Original air date: Thursday, December 04, 2008
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