For Consumer Market Research Professionals (Length: 21 pages)

June 11, 2007

Worldwide PC Adoption Forecast, 2007 To 2015

It's Time To Focus On Emerging Markets For Future Growth

by Simon Yates

with Ellen Daley, Benjamin Gray, J.P. Gownder, Rachel Batiancila


Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

Forrester's 2007 worldwide PC adoption forecast shows that there will be more than a billion PCs in use by the end of 2008 and more than 2 billion by 2015 — a 12.3% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) between 2003 and 2015. It took more than a quarter of a century to reach the first billion users, but with advancing technology, lower prices, and global demand for a technology-aware population, it will take only seven years to reach the next billion. Today, efforts like the Intel World Ahead Program, Microsoft Unlimited Potential, and One Laptop per Child (OLPC) are the driving forces behind creating a market to include another billion and more. However, for PC technology suppliers, the biggest challenges will be scaling production with enough volume to drive down prices to meet affordability requirements, and effectively planning and executing in a market that no one really understands yet.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemPC Usage Worldwide Will Top 1 Billion In 2008 And 2 Billion By 2015

itemWhich Factors Drive PC Adoption?

itemWhere Will The Next Billion Users Come From?

itemThe Time Is Right For A Wave Of PC Adoption In Emerging Markets

itemNew Technology Will Help Emerging Markets . . .

item. . . But New Markets Will Be Challenging And Volatile

WHAT IT MEANS

itemVendors In The PC Market Need A Real Plan For Emerging Markets

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester interviewed vendor companies, including AMD, Intel, One Laptop per Child, and Microsoft. Data sources include The Economist, the International Monetary Fund, and The World Bank.

Related Research Documents

itemDesigning PCs For The Third World

May 22, 2007

itemThe Rise Of Globally Adaptive Organizations

December 13, 2006

itemSizing The Emerging-Nation PC Market

December 10, 2004

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Analyst: Simon Yates
Technology: IT Adoption, IT Spending & Budgeting
Industry: Computer Hardware Industry, Consumer Electronics, Consumer Technology Adoption, High-Tech, Innovation Networks, Tech Sector Economics
Special Feature: Forecasts
Geography: Global

Special Features

7 Forecasts

Research on future technology trends or innovation

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Ratings and Comments
Rating: 9 out of 10
based on 6 ratings across all roles.
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