For Vendor Strategy Professionals (Length: 22 pages)

December 27, 2007

US IT Market Outlook And Summary: Q4 2007

A Likely Slowdown In The US Economy Will Lower 2008 IT Market Growth Rates

by Andrew Bartels

with Ellen Daley, Heidi Lo


Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

With dark clouds hanging over the US economy and growing fears of a recession in 2008, Forrester has lowered its outlook for growth in US IT investment, purchases, and spending in 2008. We have downgraded our forecast for 2008 IT investment for 2008 from 7.8% to 4.8% because of likely cutbacks in capital purchases in this gloomy environment. Our 2008 forecast for IT spending (reflecting businesses' and government IT operational budgets) has been lowered from 6.4% to 5.2%. This forecast assumes that the US economy will experience two to three quarters of very weak growth but will avoid an actual recession in 2008 — although it won't take much to upset the apple cart.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemForrester Revises Its 2008 Tech Market Forecasts Downward

itemQ3 2007 Data Showed Moderate Growth In US IT Investment

itemA Weaker US Economy Will Drive Slower IT Investment Growth In 2008

itemUS IT Investment Forecast: 4.8% In 2008, After 5.3% In 2007

itemUS IT Spending Will Grow By 5.2% In 2008, Half A Point Less Than In 2007

recommendations

itemPrepare For A Tech Market Downturn, But Expect "Not Bad" To Happen

WHAT IT MEANS

itemEconomic Growth Continues To Be The Biggest Driver Of Tech Growth

alternative view

item2008 IT Spending Comes In Lower Because The Economy Goes Into Recession

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester analyzed data on IT investment and economic growth reported by the US Department of Commerce and incorporated its data in our proprietary forecasting model for US IT spending. We also analyzed the financial reports of 46 IT vendors to identify results for different technologies in the US.

Related Research Documents

itemUS IT Spending Summary: Q3 2007

September 27, 2007

itemUS IT Spending Update: Q2 2007

July 10, 2007

itemUS IT Spending Update: Q1 2007

April 10, 2007

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Analyst: Andrew Bartels
Technology: IT Management, IT Spending & Budgeting, IT Strategy, Planning, & Governance
Industry: High-Tech, Tech Sector Economics
Geography: North America

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Rating: 8 out of 10
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