For Business Process & Applications Professionals (Length: 14 pages)

January 29, 2008

The Last Hurrah For Big Software Acquisitions

Long-Term App Strategies Should Plan For Smaller Mergers And Acquisitions

This is the first document in the "Software Market Consolidation Trends" series.

by Andrew Bartels, R "Ray" Wang

with Sharyn Leaver, Meghan Donnelly, Heidi Lo


Executive Summary (This is a document excerpt)

Conventional wisdom says that SAP's acquisition of Business Objects, Oracle's buying BEA, and IBM's purchase of Cognos will initiate a new wave of high-profile software market consolidation. Such an acceleration of market consolidation would be alarming to business apps professionals, because changes in ownership of core software partners can be highly disruptive. Business apps professionals can relax a bit, though, because we think the conventional wisdom is wrong. In a global software market that is growing at double-digit rates, vendors don't need to go through the headaches that come with super-sized acquisitions to support growth and satisfy investors. Still, business apps professionals should expect small-scale acquisitions to continue as IBM, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP strive to fill out their product portfolios. Each vendor has different needs and priorities, so expect to continue to see each of the Big Four software vendors pursue their own distinct acquisition strategies.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

NOTES & RESOURCES

itemRecent Market Consolidation Creates Disruptive Change

itemThree Types of Acquisitions Introduce Different Levels of Risk

itemFuture Mergers And Acquisitions Will Be More Modest In Scope

itemIBM, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP Will Pursue Different Acquisition Targets

recommendations

itemDesign Your Own Solution Ecosytem To Ease Consolidation Risk

itemSupplemental Material

Forrester analyzed the quarterly and financial reports of IBM, Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP, among hundreds of other software vendors.

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Analyst: Andrew Bartels, R "Ray" Wang
Technology: Application Strategy & Selection, Packaged Applications
Industry: Computer Software Industry, High-Tech, Mergers & Acquisitions
Geography: Asia Pacific, Europe, North America

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