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	November 1, 2005 How India, China Redefine The Tech World Order Indo-Chinese Influence In Global Tech Innovation Networks Is Not Preordained by Navi Radjou with Bobby Cameron, John C. McCarthy, Simon Yates, Ian Schuler

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Executive Summary

India and China — with their fast-growing markets and rapidly-expanding innovation capabilities — are threatening to redefine the historical US-centric — and unipolar — world order for the tech industry. But instead of throwing up barriers and viewing India and China as competitive threats, US tech vendors are building global high-tech Innovation Networks: multipolar ecosystems that exploit the huge markets and the growing talent pools in India and China. This document examines how the epoch-defining interplay of accelerators and decelerators impacts the performance of both Asian giants and will shape high-tech industry relationships between the East and the West over the next two decades (2005-2025). Through three scenarios, India remains a strong US ally, leaving China to be the wildcard in defining a new tech world order.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

• India And China Growth Herald A Shift In Locus For The Tech World Order
• Three Scenarios For The Global Tech Sector's New World Order (2005-2025)
• Placing Safe Bets On The New Tech World Order: A Risk-Adjusted Projection

RECOMMENDATIONS

• US, India, China: Upgrade Local Biz Environment To Foster Cross-Border Links

WHAT IT MEANS

• US Tech Vendors Will Engage Indo-Chinese Peers In Coopetition
• Supplemental Material
• Related Research Documents

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