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For Consumer Product Strategy Professionals

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January 13, 2010

US Music Forecast, 2009 To 2014

by Sonal Gandhi

with Mark Mulligan, Seth Fowler, Laura Wiramihardja

This is an excerpt

Executive Summary

Recorded music revenues declined by more than half in the past decade. The downward trend will continue for the next few years, with revenues stabilizing at around $5.5 billion in 2014. The primary reason for this is that CDs will decline at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14%, while revenues from digital music will grow at a CAGR of 13%. Forrester has also included a projection for digital music licensing revenues this year. The growth in digital music licensing will be modest and won't offset the decline in recorded music revenues.

TABLE OF CONTENTS

  • 2009 Was A Lousy End To A Lousier Decade For The Music Industry
  • The Digital Music Market Is Growing Up
  • Recorded Music Still Has Some Way To Go Before The Bleeding Stops

RECOMMENDATIONS

  • Product Innovation And Flexibility Will Get Music Revenues Out Of This Rut
  • Supplemental Material
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Features

Feature Forecast: US Recorded Music Revenues, 2009 To 2014

Feature Forecast: US Digital Music Revenues, 2009 To 2014

Feature Forecast: US Digital Music Downloaders And Subscribers, 2009 To 2014

Feature Forecast: US Digital Music Licensing Revenues, 2009 To 2014

This is an excerpt

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