Forecast Report

US Retail E-Commerce Forecast, 2025 To 2030

 and  three contributors
Jan 23, 2026

Summary

Forrester expects steady expansion of US retail sales over the next five years. By 2030, we project that US total retail sales will reach $6.2 trillion, up from $5.2 trillion in 2025. US e-commerce sales will reach $1.8 trillion, and US e-commerce penetration will grow to 29% by 2030. This report provides a forecast for US total retail sales, e-commerce sales, and e-commerce penetration for 30 product categories, with historical data going back to 1998.

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